0xB70636041e81A2De18359E552Fb254f1d160D8B8-1775942815303

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $17.25
Potential profit: $16.13
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $15.24
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $12.96
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $7.09
Potential profit: $6.29
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 28.9%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $3.63
Multiplier: 3.47x
User PnL: $0.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.61
Potential profit: $3.61
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $2.71
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: $0.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.72

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET