Polymarket Trader

validk

0xb73315b35e41a985ebe69bedaf8615c4454118cf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $204.87
Realized PnL: $715.88
Win rate: 93.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $109.28
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $13.11

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $431.58
Potential profit: $431.58
User PnL: -$33.74

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $95.59
Potential payout: $382.38
Potential profit: $286.78
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$3.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.39
Potential profit: $227.39
User PnL: -$13.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.36
Potential profit: $214.36
User PnL: -$6.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.45
Potential profit: $166.45
User PnL: -$11.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.03
Potential profit: $161.03
User PnL: -$25.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.52
Potential profit: $157.52
User PnL: -$11.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.24
Potential profit: $148.24
User PnL: -$26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.84
Potential profit: $111.84
User PnL: -$6.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.3
Potential profit: $95.3
User PnL: -$6.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.1
Potential profit: $94.1
User PnL: -$16.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.21
Potential profit: $90.21
User PnL: -$5.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.73
Potential profit: $87.73
User PnL: -$23.69

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.39
Potential profit: $65.39
User PnL: -$4.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.49
Potential profit: $48.49
User PnL: -$0.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.91
Potential profit: $44.91
User PnL: -$9.43

Cabo Verde position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.99
Potential profit: $41.99
User PnL: -$14.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.4
Potential profit: $41.4
User PnL: -$9.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.38
Potential profit: $39.38
User PnL: -$4.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.18
Potential profit: $37.18
User PnL: -$0.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

DeepSeek banned in US before April?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

No 26% 382.38 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 6.9% 43.48 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 1.9% 91.58 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 10% 140 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 22% 157 shares
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals AND Brazil to score first vs. Japan? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? AND Brazil leading at halftime?

18% 54.17 shares
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals AND Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals AND Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals AND Neymar Jr: 1+ goals

4% 101.75 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 1,648.96 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 99.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Down 3% 172.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Down 2% 34.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Down 28% 34.8 shares