Polymarket Trader

Ivub

0xb73d4b852d68789edc297388de5d5b5c64b8cc50

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $122.3
Realized PnL: $123.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $248.63
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.7%
Current value: $58.56
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $92.95
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $33.56

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $131.6
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $24.01
Potential payout: $119.76
Potential profit: $95.75
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $4.01

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $84.83
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $8.88
Potential payout: $61.25
Potential profit: $52.37
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $2.27
Potential payout: $54.58
Potential profit: $52.32
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $33.9
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $12.43
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $11.03
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $2.67
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.26
Potential profit: $10.26
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Colombia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.34
Potential profit: $8.34
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $3.37
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $6.88
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$2

Toronto Blue Jays position

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $3.84
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $2.61
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.84

Egypt position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $6.45
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $5.52
Potential profit: $4.44
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.39

Yes position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Texas Rangers position

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.06

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.29

Yes position

Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

England position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

England position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

Cincinnati Reds position

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?

Yes 35% 28.57 shares
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?

Yes 18% 11.11 shares
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5

Over 61.5% 3.25 shares
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5

Over 62.2% 4.82 shares
Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5

Over 47% 4.26 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

England 60.7% 8.23 shares
Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 36% 12.82 shares
Harry Kane: 2+ shots AND Erling Haaland: 1+ shots

96.7% 3.65 shares
Erling Haaland: 2+ shots AND Harry Kane: 2+ shots

96.2% 4.1 shares
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5

Over 55.7% 5.38 shares
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5

Over 79.7% 6.27 shares
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares