Polymarket Trader

posion

0xb74044f410f111c23218981d9f47ce2995961637

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $264.9
Realized PnL: $60.67
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $58.86
Potential payout: $108
Potential profit: $49.14
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $4.86

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $49.14
Potential payout: $108
Potential profit: $58.86
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$4.86

No position

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $89.73
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $0.27
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $20.96
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $14.13
Potential payout: $15.05
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $14.69
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.11
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $9.61
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.19
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.93
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.25

FURIA Esports position

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.13

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 99.6% 90 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

No 94.5% 10 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.9% 10 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 17 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.3% 10 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.6% 10 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.1% 10 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 83% 2.41 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 76% 5.88 shares
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 56% 5 shares
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 25% 5 shares