Yes position
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $3.07K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.64
Polymarket Trader
Allez-vous-en
0xb7427fb13d3e77bb657d267f94ff9b7c49794263
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.05
- Realized PnL
- $42.64
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.37
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $38.25
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- $28.52
Yes position
Will Ruwa Romman win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- User PnL
- -$4.52
Yes position
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $9.05
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $4.87
Yes position
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $699.99
- Potential profit
- $699.64
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.65
Yes position
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $656.29
- Potential profit
- $655.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $557.48
- Potential profit
- $557.48
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $495.75
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $498.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $499.97
- Potential profit
- $499.72
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400.55
- Potential profit
- $400.55
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.94
- Potential profit
- $249.94
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $171.8
- Potential profit
- $171.54
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.65
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $65
- User PnL
- -$12.2
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.68
- Potential profit
- $57.68
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.61
Yes position
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $9.21
Yes position
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Atlanta Braves position
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Minnesota Twins position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes 0.5% 150.32 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Yes 0.3% 500 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes 19% 50 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes 4.5% 884.88 shares
- Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Yes 0.2% 363.4 shares
- Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.5% 250 shares
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.3% 500 shares
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.2% 937.47 shares
- Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 9.3% 163.87 shares
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.2% 575 shares
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.2% 287.5 shares
- Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 14.1% 36.12 shares