No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $19.82K
- Potential payout
- $24.94K
- Potential profit
- $5.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $6.5K
Polymarket Trader
OfficerLahey27
0xb74903df2ab2de4bc355b546055b2fa7af4b2a64
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.82K
- Realized PnL
- $1.15K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $2.81K
- Potential payout
- $20.11K
- Potential profit
- $17.29K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.15K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.79K
- Potential profit
- $5.79K
- User PnL
- -$1.66K
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $137.79
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$46.13
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $880
- Potential profit
- $880
- User PnL
- -$21.72
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $43.88
- Potential payout
- $750.01
- Potential profit
- $706.13
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$38.63
No position
James Comey arrested by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.45
- Potential profit
- $103.45
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $772.8
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.86
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.76
Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.42
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.39
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.76
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.78
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.44
Yes position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $3.66
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 20% 104.6 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 89% 22.22 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 52% 926.98 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 53% 9.43 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 24% 35.99 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 53% 230 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 25% 466 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 24% 16.56 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 24% 47.95 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 52% 642.7 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes 37% 423.5 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 51% 1,132.65 shares