No position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $599.1
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- User PnL
- $0.3
Polymarket Trader
yarkgg
@rafanan_roselle
0xb78b224a5cda8c2f1e7d95a77f9e5fefb013ed95
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $698.44
- Realized PnL
- $37.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $88.78
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Current value
- $10.57
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $15.43
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Yes position
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 99% 84 shares
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 99.9% 100 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 99.9% 200 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 99.9% 300 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.8% 667 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.8% 668 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.8% 668 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.8% 668 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 95% 15 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes 99.7% 221 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes 99.6% 460 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 99% 630 shares