No position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $3.24K
- Potential payout
- $3.86K
- Potential profit
- $617.43
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $454.18
Polymarket Trader
givemeusername
0xb78d9c7fdcde2075f50fb4a31672d17566ee0d5b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.94K
- Realized PnL
- $2.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.7%
- Current value
- $324.1
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 4.62x
- User PnL
- $74.1
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $125.68
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $891.99
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$15.98
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $816.87
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $197.88
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$67.3
Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $303.21
- Potential payout
- $830.7
- Potential profit
- $527.5
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $127.51
- Potential payout
- $404.79
- Potential profit
- $277.28
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $14.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.78
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $245.11
N
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.85
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $168.15
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.67
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.33
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $141.17
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $106.95
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $103.16
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.82
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $89.31
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.69
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.48
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.56
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.59
Yes position
Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.44
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.31
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.38
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.87
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.83
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.73
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.18
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.36
Under position
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 28% 404.79 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.2% 784.82 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 83.1% 130.08 shares
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 34% 294.12 shares
- Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 27.9% 765.58 shares
- Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 29% 765.59 shares
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 37.3% 536.59 shares
- France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo 80% 249.99 shares
- France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo 80% 256.41 shares
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder 81% 269.72 shares
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Under 57% 337.58 shares
- France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo 78% 256.41 shares