Polymarket Trader

kaywong817

0xb79cb3269786a10d969111ff76d6345b7e945b74

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.12
Realized PnL: $86.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $3.6K
User PnL: -$15.39

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$76

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $4.49
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $125.52
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $2.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.39
Potential profit: $102.39
User PnL: -$19.88

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$9.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.65
Potential profit: $23.65
User PnL: -$4.97

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $6.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.97
Potential profit: $14.97
User PnL: -$4.94

No position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.1

No position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.8

No position

Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.8

No position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.6

No position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.8

No position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $9.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.2

No position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.2

No position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Cabo Verde position

Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 38% 13.16 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 11?

No 96.6% 20 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 9?

Yes 39.6% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?

No 2.6% 40 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?

No 42.4% 12.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?

Yes 80% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?

No 85% 19.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 26?

No 99.8% 29.99 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

No 49.9% 40.08 shares
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Yes 97.2% 20.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Down 33% 14.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Down 65% 23.4 shares