bevvy

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $88.9
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11.1
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $17.7

Yes position

Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$71

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $60
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on April 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$52.99

Up position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.98
Potential profit: $59.98
User PnL: -$29.19

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $47.95
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $2.05
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $7.45

Yes position

Will Oracle Q4 Cloud revenue be above $10.5B?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$43.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $45.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.25
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $5.75

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $42.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $43.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $8.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $41.93
Multiplier: 6.19x
User PnL: -$24.73

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$44.05

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $43.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $25.75

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $36.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $13.02
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $3.48

No position

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$32

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?

Implied probability: 66.9%
Current value: $33.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $16.58
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$12.08

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will there be a double Breen “Bang” during the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$35.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Yes position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.2

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.44

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.5

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

No position

Will Solana dip to $60 June 1-7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.55

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.5

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?

Ends May 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.45

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Up position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.8

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $16.65

Up position

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on February 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on April 20?