No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $24.98K
- Potential payout
- $25.19K
- Potential profit
- $214.13
- User PnL
- $548.02
Polymarket Trader
charlatta
0xb7b8e9681f5c863dfbd3ac7ec66bac69fa0edb31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.63K
- Realized PnL
- $14.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $12.54K
- Potential payout
- $12.58K
- Potential profit
- $44.03
- User PnL
- $72.56
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.75K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $3.93K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $66
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.48K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $23.75
- User PnL
- $176.25
No position
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $191
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$71
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $245.7
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$46
No position
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $590.4
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $9.6
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $33.6
No position
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $479.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $20.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $370.59
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $29.4
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $14.2
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $286.07
- Potential payout
- $300.02
- Potential profit
- $13.95
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $290.4
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $9.6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $202.72
- Potential payout
- $208.24
- Potential profit
- $5.52
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $36.13
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $192.4
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $7.6
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $159.06
- Potential payout
- $161.73
- Potential profit
- $2.67
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $15.12
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $149.43
- Potential payout
- $151.86
- Potential profit
- $2.43
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $8.39
- Potential payout
- $136.35
- Potential profit
- $127.97
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$14.61
No position
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $102.59
- Potential payout
- $107.6
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.53
No position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $72.31
- Potential payout
- $75.48
- Potential profit
- $3.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7K
No position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $909.96
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396.44
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.67
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.92
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.81
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.4
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.41
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.6
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.8
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.3
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.01
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.03
No position
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?No 85.1% 5.88 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 86% 11.63 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 95% 363.16 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99% 350 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 95% 46.32 shares
- Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?No 99.3% 5.04 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.7% 10.03 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.7% 10,832.5 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 331.53 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 301.49 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.2% 1,007.51 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.1% 2,926.34 shares