0xb7cc...fe89

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $748.09
Potential profit: $748.09
User PnL: -$62.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $713.19
Potential profit: $713.19
User PnL: -$61.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $450.52
Potential payout: $657.69
Potential profit: $207.17
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $412.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $47.78
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $602.23
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $6.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$19.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$19.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$19.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $430.5
Potential profit: $430.28
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$9.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.1
Potential profit: $50.1
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.1
Potential profit: $50.1
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.1
Potential profit: $50.1
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.1
Potential profit: $50.1
User PnL: -$1.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $12.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $10.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.82

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$9.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?