Polymarket Trader

DavidMahoney1422

@GruberMere63100

0xb7d497a0541229533602899a04f76d22ca235735

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $452.54
Realized PnL: $2.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $769
Potential profit: $762.46
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$201.09

Yes position

Will Indiana and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $433
Potential profit: $433
User PnL: -$116.91

No position

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $252.42
Potential payout: $319.52
Potential profit: $67.1
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $204.49

No position

Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $145.09
Potential payout: $282
Potential profit: $136.91
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $94.61

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217
Potential profit: $217
User PnL: -$21.7

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163
Potential profit: $163
User PnL: -$2.77

No position

Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159
Potential profit: $159
User PnL: -$21.31

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.93
Potential profit: $154.93
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153
Potential profit: $153
User PnL: -$3.21

No position

Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129
Potential profit: $129
User PnL: -$49.02

Yes position

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $44.37
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $57.63
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$26.01

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$6.72

Yes position

Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: -$2.43

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79
Potential profit: $79
User PnL: -$1.19

No position

Will Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $62
User PnL: -$50.97

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $58
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Vanta IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $51
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $44
User PnL: -$16.28

Yes position

Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $41
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $39
User PnL: -$1.83

No position

Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $28.88
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$4.46

Yes position

Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$8.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.87

No position

Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $168.05

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.78

Yes position

Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.6

No position

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.91

Yes position

Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112.08

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.41

Yes position

Ukraine strike in Russia on 29 November 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.65

Yes position

Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.24

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.94

No position

Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.55

No position

threadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.37

No position

Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.09

No position

Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.17

No position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.19

Yes position

Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.69

Yes position

Will Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.64

Yes position

Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.32

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.4

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $35.43

No position

Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.56

Yes position

Will Trae Young be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.76

Yes position

Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.92

No position

Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 97.7% 9 shares
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 98.5% 13 shares
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 91.1% 44 shares
Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?

No 11% 127 shares
Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?

No 11% 173 shares
threadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?

No 32% 24 shares
Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?

No 40% 314 shares
Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?

No 40% 319 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

No 94% 97 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

No 94% 132 shares
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 18% 81 shares
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 18% 87 shares