Polymarket Trader

0xB7dB11c295C0Ca799B3C1896f99D8c5284199a85-1768416905505

0xb7db11c295c0ca799b3c1896f99d8c5284199a85

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $352.11
Realized PnL: -$66.85
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38.1%
Current value: $332.57
Potential payout: $874.05
Potential profit: $541.47
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $32.57

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $479.31
Potential profit: $479.31
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $187.5
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $19.54
Potential payout: $117.36
Potential profit: $97.82
Multiplier: 6.01x
User PnL: -$20.46

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.12
Potential profit: $87.12
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.14
Potential profit: $65.14
User PnL: -$8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.2

No position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.56

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.79

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

Yes position

Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$46.17

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$57.05

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$162.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 34.3% 874.05 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 57% 587.28 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 59% 237.29 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 12% 552.19 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 34.1% 117.36 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

No 92% 67.16 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 72% 350 shares
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?

Yes 4.8% 247.28 shares
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?

Yes 15.2% 52.56 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Will Trump visit China by March 31?

No 94.1% 144.73 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Yes 16% 187.5 shares