poppppy

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $5.38K
Potential payout: $5.4K
Potential profit: $21.61
User PnL: $109.64

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $2.42K
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $29.4
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $279.28

Yes position

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $14.28
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $40.17

No position

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $9.76
User PnL: $14.78

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $869.77
Potential profit: $869.34
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$296.16

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $20.02
Potential payout: $426.06
Potential profit: $406.04
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will DR Congo reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $148.2
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Egypt reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $144.59
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $26.65
Potential payout: $129.99
Potential profit: $103.34
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$19.35

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $126.5
Potential profit: $126.06
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $13.37
Potential payout: $92.19
Potential profit: $78.82
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.3

No position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $55.58
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $9.43
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $12.9
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $47.1
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $38.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $21.9
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $29.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $20.25
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $36.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $27.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $22.75
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$5.75

No position

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $43.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $6.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $46.95
Potential payout: $49.98
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.47

No position

Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $29.48
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $15.52
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$2.02

No position

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $22.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $17.4
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Senegal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $36.94
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $31.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $8.6
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $16.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $23.4
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $1.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $340.44

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $295.4

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.69

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $140.82

No position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.59

Yes position

Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.01

No position

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $34.27

No position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.87

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.5

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.8

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.08

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.26

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.77

Yes position

Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.6

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.2

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.48

No position

Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

No position

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $5.9

No position

Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

No position

Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?