No position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $280.09
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $73.34
Polymarket Trader
PaulAtreides
0xb7e1b2c157ac2132e7131a6e88b54245525c8c19
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $957.41
- Realized PnL
- $1.16K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $453.78
- Potential payout
- $543.45
- Potential profit
- $89.67
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $69.78
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $213.38
- Potential payout
- $439.96
- Potential profit
- $226.58
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $119.38
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $380.67
- Potential profit
- $380.67
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238
- Potential profit
- $238
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.12
- Potential profit
- $132.12
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.32
- Potential profit
- $41.32
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.6
- Potential profit
- $35.6
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.76
- Potential profit
- $30.76
- User PnL
- -$2
Aiemann Zahabi position
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.09
- Potential profit
- $26.09
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.31
- Potential profit
- $25.31
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $13.8
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Y
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $9.67
- Potential payout
- $12.89
- Potential profit
- $3.22
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.15
- Potential profit
- $11.15
- User PnL
- -$4.79
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Kevin Warsh in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.74
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.8
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.11
No position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $79.41
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $44.58
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.28
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.48
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Trump say "Hellhole" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Ciryl Gane position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 84% 17.86 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 77.6% 12.89 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ciryl Gane 42% 11.9 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Aiemann Zahabi 23% 4.35 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Aiemann Zahabi 23% 21.74 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 14.6% 180.73 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No 15.4% 60.06 shares
- Ethereum flipped in 2026?Yes 42% 11.9 shares
- Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?Yes 71% 5.74 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No 13.8% 253.43 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 81% 61.73 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?No 3.5% 121.95 shares