Mozckito3

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $597
Potential profit: $597
User PnL: -$6.01

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $169.24
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $145
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $142.41
Potential profit: $142.05
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.22
Potential profit: $122.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $111.99
Potential profit: $111.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 3?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Ethena reach $0.16 in June?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $93.72
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $87.17
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77
Potential profit: $77
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $73.85
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$8.46

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.43
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $64.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63
Potential profit: $63
User PnL: -$1.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.41

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.14

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Implied probability: 16.2%
Multiplier: 6.17x
User PnL: $11.38

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.43

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $4.39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

No position

Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Implied probability: 83.8%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?