No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $618
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $582
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $30
Polymarket Trader
ELTESTICULON
0xb7e632a7a6a5faa855fc457f676d8d37835a2b17
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $930.56
- Realized PnL
- $5.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $251.25
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $498.75
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$11.25
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $61.31
- Potential payout
- $159.25
- Potential profit
- $97.94
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $4.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $408.55
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.62
Yes position
Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.13
Yes position
Will Ross Ulbricht say "Silk Road" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.02
No position
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.34
No position
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his 4th of July remarks?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.82
No position
Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" or "Kelce" 3+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.24
Yes position
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during his University of Alabama commencement speech?
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243
Yes position
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 20+ times during 9-11 memorial event?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.99
No position
Will Bernie say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.45
No position
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.99
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his University of Alabama commencement speech?
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.5
No position
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.96
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
Ends Sep 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.82
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.5
No position
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.02
No position
Will Trump say "Finland" or "Canada" 15+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.15
No position
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during speech on October 14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.55
No position
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during his May 13 interview?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.1
No position
Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141
Yes position
Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.95
Yes position
Will Trump say "Green New Scam" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No 49% 215.1 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 66.3% 996.08 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 37% 1,396.57 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rally?No 73% 40 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rally?No 63% 308.06 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rally?No 62% 8 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rally?No 60% 94.51 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rally?No 58% 21 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No 58% 586.38 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No 56% 116 shares
- Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?No 48% 350 shares
- Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?No 45% 350 shares