sergiovando775

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $165.24
Potential profit: $165.16
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $74.85
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.39
Potential profit: $62.39
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.71
Potential profit: $57.71
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.52
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $47.61
Potential profit: $47.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.53
Potential profit: $41.53
User PnL: -$3.07

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.77
Potential profit: $39.77
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $37.86
Potential profit: $37.84
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.67
Potential profit: $36.67
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $35.46
Potential profit: $34.27
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.59
Potential profit: $31.59
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.01
Potential profit: $31.01
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.87
Potential profit: $29.87
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $29.12
Potential profit: $29.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.77
Potential profit: $27.77
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.5
Potential profit: $27.5
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $25.9
Potential profit: $25.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.31

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $25.38
Potential profit: $24.72
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $25.35
Potential profit: $25.18
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $23.93
Potential profit: $23.89
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.91
Potential profit: $23.91
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.62
Potential profit: $23.62
User PnL: -$0.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $4.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on July 5?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 4?