Polymarket Trader

0xb80c...827b

0xb80c61643c632fb54f6abc556de9ad050117827b

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $950.97
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $47
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $153
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$7.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $90
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$4.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $64.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $35.5
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$10.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$3.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$24.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $70.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $29.5
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$12.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 83.1%
Current value: $83.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $16.95
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$9.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $68.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $83.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $3.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $78
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $22
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $86
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $14
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $23
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $77
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $13.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $53.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $46.5
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$5.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.46
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$3.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $91.15
Multiplier: 11.30x
User PnL: -$1.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $80.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $19.5
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $24.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $75.5
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $3.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $72.47
Potential payout: $98.6
Potential profit: $26.13
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $7.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $34.93
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $20.08
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $10.24
Potential payout: $53.88
Potential profit: $43.64
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $49.81
Potential profit: $45.08
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $19.2
Potential profit: $17.18
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?

Yes 27.8% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 9?

Yes 13.7% 19.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 9?

Yes 25% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 9?

No 72% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?

Yes 27% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 9?

No 58.5% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 9?

Yes 7% 36.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 9?

Yes 10.7% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 9?

No 80% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 9?

Yes 12.6% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?

Yes 14.1% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 9?

Yes 20.8% 100 shares