Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $3.52K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $224.87
Polymarket Trader
0x8a704186eEa1aDA4E1459f48f1e8DD5611Be93c5-1776728326344
0xb81ea24bda361fcbed501fadfc5e8c635b1db640
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.46K
- Realized PnL
- $6.02K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$731.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.1% 1,312.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 6,404.82 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 33.4% 2,203.55 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 22% 1,218.91 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 1,684.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 2,222.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 6,625.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 82.5% 655.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 2,341.32 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 41% 2,284.18 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 27% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 28% 1,000 shares