Polymarket Trader

ElonJail

0xb831a1d17dc7cc13815e665fb94f34473e33892b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $24.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.59K
Potential profit: $34.59K
User PnL: -$34.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.89K
Potential profit: $29.89K
User PnL: -$29.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.83K
Potential profit: $29.83K
User PnL: -$29.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.39K
Potential profit: $29.39K
User PnL: -$60.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.4K
Potential profit: $22.4K
User PnL: -$44.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.16K
Potential profit: $21.16K
User PnL: -$21.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.64K
Potential profit: $17.64K
User PnL: -$17.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.28K
Potential profit: $12.28K
User PnL: -$45.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.02K
Potential profit: $12.02K
User PnL: -$24.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.67K
Potential profit: $11.67K
User PnL: -$15.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.84K
Potential profit: $10.84K
User PnL: -$10.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.61K
Potential profit: $10.61K
User PnL: -$48.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.73K
Potential profit: $9.73K
User PnL: -$9.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.45K
Potential profit: $8.45K
User PnL: -$41.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.59K
Potential profit: $7.59K
User PnL: -$15.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.11K
Potential profit: $7.11K
User PnL: -$7.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.83K
Potential profit: $6.83K
User PnL: -$6.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.92K
Potential profit: $5.92K
User PnL: -$5.92

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.05K
Potential profit: $5.05K
User PnL: -$75.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.83K
Potential profit: $4.83K
User PnL: -$19.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35K
Potential profit: $4.35K
User PnL: -$12.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $926.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $922.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $906.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $893.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $822.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $557.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $498.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $331.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.06

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 1,000 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

No 99.8% 100 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

No 99.2% 200 shares
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Yes 21% 245.04 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 1,000 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

No 99.8% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 14,586.23 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 98.7% 74.93 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 98.7% 404.25 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 95.7% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 95.7% 1,000 shares