Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.84
Polymarket Trader
VZdao
0xb8380dbeb8a4b0ef4847d24de3fcb53b11bdaada
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$104.33
- Win rate
- 6.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$5.99
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$39.09
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$46.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No 74% 6 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 74% 19.99 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 74% 30 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes 11.5% 21 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes 15% 192.3 shares
- Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No 33.3% 72.14 shares
- Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?No 34% 35 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No 57% 19.99 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on June 24?Yes 30% 50 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 43% 174.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 25?No 68.7% 16.12 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No 96.9% 50 shares