Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.82
- Potential profit
- $147.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
zhuxinjianbtc
0xb8455941aeeb884e7ee00c3a80d771afe43fa7c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.1
- Realized PnL
- $125.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.38
- Potential profit
- $101.38
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.86
- Potential profit
- $80.86
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $7.65
- Potential payout
- $62.47
- Potential profit
- $54.82
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$3.35
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.12
- Potential profit
- $62.12
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.86
- Potential profit
- $47.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.9
- Potential profit
- $38.9
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39.4%
- Current value
- $11.15
- Potential payout
- $28.34
- Potential profit
- $17.19
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.32
- Potential profit
- $28.32
- User PnL
- -$3
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.27
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.34
- Potential profit
- $17.34
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.08
- Potential profit
- $14.08
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.35
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $7.86
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $8.93
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $8.93
- Potential profit
- $8.47
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $8.45
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $8.4
- Potential profit
- $7.05
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.32
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.79
- Potential profit
- $6.79
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.76
- Potential profit
- $6.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.28
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.18
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Clippers
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $4.73
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Yes 6.1% 31.25 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes 66% 2.94 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 29.2% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes 17.4% 15.62 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes 11.5% 19.6 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?No 20% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No 37% 2.7 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Yes 3.2% 31.25 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes 5.1% 19.61 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes 6.4% 15.63 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 17.8% 5.62 shares