Polymarket Trader

0xb848f83664A8De21ce565B8FF3075a3798e062c0-1778624284403

0xb848f83664a8de21ce565b8ff3075a3798e062c0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.58K
Realized PnL: $4.41K
Win rate: 42.9%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.57K
Potential payout: $2.38M
Potential profit: $2.38M
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.37K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.64
Potential payout: $13.28K
Potential profit: $13.27K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$223.34

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.55
Potential payout: $13.11K
Potential profit: $13.1K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.99K

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$500

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09K

No position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $357.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $2.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$13.06

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 1,996,500 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 0.6% 1,333.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 1% 384,078.68 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 1.9% 10,644.17 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 1.7% 1,300.58 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 34% 1,470.59 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

No 21% 4,084.47 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 30.5% 13,107.6 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

No 12.2% 4,084.48 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 18.2% 4,410.74 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

No 98.6% 4,436.72 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

No 24% 16.67 shares