Portugal position
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $494.12
- Potential profit
- $494.12
- User PnL
- -$172
Polymarket Trader
return-of-the-king
0xb84ca5f197a73429f608842cd75ebbc7c578e169
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $470.19
- Realized PnL
- $522.56
- Win rate
- 35.7%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
United States position
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $470.37
- Potential profit
- $470.37
- User PnL
- -$254
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Current value
- $158.06
- Potential payout
- $410
- Potential profit
- $251.95
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $22.75
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $31.47
- Potential payout
- $317.92
- Potential profit
- $286.45
- Multiplier
- 10.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $22.23
- Potential payout
- $186.03
- Potential profit
- $163.8
- Multiplier
- 8.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $35.75
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $74.25
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $50.05
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $59.95
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$11.55
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $76.44
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $33.56
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $6.04
Egypt position
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$14
Y
Yes position
Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $44.4
- Potential payout
- $67.79
- Potential profit
- $23.39
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $4.3
N
No position
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $13.33
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $42.23
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$6.67
Y
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $16.21
- Potential payout
- $49.88
- Potential profit
- $33.67
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.79
N
No position
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $9.17
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $24.16
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Y
Yes position
Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $13.08
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $8.92
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Norway position
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.29
France position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.75
France position
Spread: France (-2.5)
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.94
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.29x
- User PnL
- $28.67
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Y
Yes position
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Yes position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$6.32
England position
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.41
Yes position
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$8.69
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$20.07
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$41
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$81.84
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$86.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?No 35.5% 21.31 shares
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes 39.6% 31.9 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 19.6% 158.29 shares
- Spread: France (-1.5)France 86.3% 199.99 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 59.5% 100 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 59.5% 100 shares
- Spread: France (-2.5)France 14.5% 200 shares
- Spread: France (-1.5)France 34.8% 100 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 61.3% 100 shares
- Spread: France (-1.5)France 33.3% 100 shares
- Spread: France (-1.5)France 33.3% 100 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33% 410 shares