Polymarket Trader

0xb857...9648

0xb85790388ae047df3a8b6e44b39ff9045f329648

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $71.72
Realized PnL: $0.26
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $45.39
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $56.61
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $21.95
Potential payout: $44.79
Potential profit: $22.84
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $2.39

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.99
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $3.37
Potential payout: $24.95
Potential profit: $21.58
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $1.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be more than 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Yes 46% 55 shares
Will there be more than 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Yes 6.7% 15 shares
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Yes 51% 22 shares
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Yes 51% 25 shares
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Yes 4.7% 25 shares
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Yes 45% 10.22 shares
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Yes 43.3% 34.57 shares

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