Yes position
Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by January 31?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $348
- Potential profit
- $348
- User PnL
- -$38.28
Polymarket Trader
CalebFisher9798
0xb85b3f7be912392127dfbadc69161ad9950d77db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $214.1
- Realized PnL
- $1.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $170.59
- Potential payout
- $313
- Potential profit
- $142.42
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $89.21
Yes position
Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94
- Potential profit
- $94
- User PnL
- -$10.34
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84
- Potential profit
- $84
- User PnL
- -$8.44
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $9.84
- Potential payout
- $82
- Potential profit
- $72.16
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$11.48
Yes position
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $33.67
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $40.33
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$21.09
No position
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $73
- User PnL
- -$60.97
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $51
- User PnL
- -$8.16
Yes position
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$4.42
No position
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $23
- User PnL
- -$15.57
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$5.22
Yes position
Will John Harbaugh join the Cleveland Browns prior to April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$3.05
No position
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.64
- Potential profit
- $3.64
- User PnL
- -$1.93
No position
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1.56
No position
Will Infinex launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.92
No position
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.26
No position
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $90.14
No position
Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.9
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.51
Yes position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.9
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.3
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.8
Yes position
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.57
Yes position
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.09
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.31
Yes position
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $30.48
No position
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.95
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $28.7
Yes position
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.97
Y
Yes position
Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.72
Yes position
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.1
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.05
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.41
No position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.4
Yes position
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?No 88% 73 shares
- Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No 29% 299 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?No 45% 89 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?No 46% 305 shares
- Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No 61% 394 shares
- Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?No 87% 625 shares
- Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?No 17% 76 shares
- Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No 60.6% 25 shares
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?No 26% 409 shares
- Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?No 48% 61 shares
- Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?No 67% 63 shares
- Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?No 88% 698 shares