Polymarket Trader

Xaci

0xb85de4f6f5a70a0ceebb62c555976721a9d04ac4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.71
Realized PnL: $11.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 16, 2026?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.33
Potential profit: $113.33
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $20.79
Potential payout: $27.53
Potential profit: $6.74
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.43

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.56
Potential profit: $24.56
User PnL: -$13.75

Papua New Guinea position

T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Papua New Guinea

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$10

No position

Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Haiti elections delayed again?

Ends Aug 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $1.32
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $1.12
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58K

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $711.85

No position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $596.8

No position

Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $568.52

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $537.6

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $535.6

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.2

Yes position

Will no listed leader be out in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.1

Yes position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $433.55

No position

Maduro mugshot released by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.85

Up position

Solana Up or Down on July 22?

Ends Jul 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.45

No position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.65

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.73

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.43

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.13

Yes position

Will Italy win on 2025-10-11?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.53

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.48

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.09

Yes position

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.21

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.2

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.44

No position

Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during July Press Conference?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.87

No position

Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $241.99

Yes position

Canada recession before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 88.5% 21.47 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

No 66.7% 55.04 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Yes 34% 61.05 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Yes 36% 61.05 shares
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5

Over 99.9% 40.9 shares
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5

Over 98.2% 40.9 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

No 64% 64.05 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

No 59% 64.05 shares
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?

No 98.2% 39.83 shares
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?

No 97.9% 39.83 shares
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Yes 93.3% 41.94 shares
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Yes 96.7% 41.94 shares