Yes position
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?
Ends Oct 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $270
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $730
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $120
Polymarket Trader
lllbigt
0xb85f90f024547df54f9acd074d85a18e7748879e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $597.6
- Realized PnL
- $1.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $47.15
- Potential payout
- $410
- Potential profit
- $362.85
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$26.45
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $181
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $99.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- User PnL
- $13.45
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $50.01
- User PnL
- -$8.15
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$17.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.19
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.06
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.14
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $52.19
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Apr 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.23
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.43
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $38.8
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.75
No position
Bitcoin above $113,000 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.67
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.05
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.26
No position
Will Trump increase tariffs on China by Friday?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.57
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.45
No position
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.69
No position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.48
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.47
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $11
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Yes 93% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 60% 193.3 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 33% 11.7 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 82% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 94.7% 399.98 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 60% 58.13 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No 91.7% 149.99 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes 74% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No 78% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No 87% 354.32 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No 26.1% 99.99 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No 44.7% 100 shares