Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$77.5
Polymarket Trader
gremlin
0xb86ec66ce93b3e0bd66b43291c8a9a1fb04a8cfd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.24
- Realized PnL
- $20.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $996.5
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$46.5
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $497.52
- Potential profit
- $496.28
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $975.78
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $799.97
No position
Fed rate hike in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $790.01
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750
Yes position
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $710.61
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $667.25
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650
No position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.78
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528
No position
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $513.65
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486
Yes position
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $483.5
No position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.89
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 94% 395.93 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 82% 957.73 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 47% 16.25 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 44% 0.11 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 93.9% 1.92 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 94.1% 213.81 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 87% 5,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 72% 7.99 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 72% 15 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 94.2% 845.16 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 94% 205.57 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 17% 1,500 shares