nanananananannaa

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $507.46
Potential profit: $507.2
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $454.46
Potential profit: $452.86
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $41.7
Potential profit: $41.68
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.65

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $41.56
Potential profit: $41.43
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$3.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $24.01
Potential payout: $27.6
Potential profit: $3.59
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $26.56
Potential profit: $26.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25.5
Potential payout: $25.52
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $25.48
Potential payout: $25.52
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 7?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $24.85
Potential payout: $25.26
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $24.99
Potential payout: $25.03
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $24.76
Potential payout: $24.78
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $23.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $3.34
Potential payout: $24.75
Potential profit: $21.41
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $20.6
Potential profit: $20.09
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.51

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16.99
Potential profit: $16.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10.63
Potential profit: $10.6
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.42

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $9.63
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.15
Potential profit: $7.15
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.14

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $6.01
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$0.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$4.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will "Bitcoin" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET