Polymarket Trader

0xb86ed1980ae42b710B2d9FBf4ABb4c4c8899e9E7-1765344655575

0xb86ed1980ae42b710b2d9fbf4abb4c4c8899e9e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $26.78
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.16
Potential profit: $7.16
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Tate position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $1.19
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.68

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $3.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

GPT ads by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Up 0.9% 111.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Up 40% 9.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Down 69% 7.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Up 35.1% 9.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Up 51.2% 9.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Down 7% 6.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Down 80% 6.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Down 61.2% 7.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Down 69% 7.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Up 92% 7.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Up 64% 7.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Down 80% 12.01 shares