Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
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0xb87e05d6d8279ad167ca3728c57129ed1d022ccd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $114.97
- Realized PnL
- $377.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Meta have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $375
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $265.79
- Potential profit
- $265.79
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.98
- Potential profit
- $123.98
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Elon no longer world's richest before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.56
- Potential profit
- $120.56
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.02
- Potential profit
- $108.02
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.21
- Potential profit
- $99.21
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $97.45
- Potential payout
- $97.5
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $17.45
No position
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Google forced to sell Chrome?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.81
- Potential profit
- $90.81
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Solana ETF approved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.19
- Potential profit
- $68.19
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.6
- Potential profit
- $67.6
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Files proving Epstein or Maxwell were Mossad released before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $53.82
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $55.75
- Potential profit
- $55.72
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$26.73
Yes position
CHIPS Act repealed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.43
- Potential profit
- $53.43
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Yes position
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.71
- Potential profit
- $52.71
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.03
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.52
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.75
Yes position
Adin Ross unbanned from Twitch in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.23
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.61
No position
DeepSeek R2 released before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.69
Yes position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
Yes position
Trump ends taxes on tips before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.18
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Trump releases Epstein list today?
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Will Cursor support Grok-3 before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.15
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
No position
Cardano ETF in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.57
No position
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 25-Mar 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.61
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
No position
Starlink gets FAA contract before May?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.18
Down position
Bitcoin up in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Was the captain of crashed Delta flight a woman?
Ends Feb 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 4% 55.55 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes 48% 55.75 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?No 21% 23.81 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?No 30% 100.17 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 18% 55.56 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 62% 48.39 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No 94.9% 74.03 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No 82.1% 97.5 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 30% 100 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes 44% 11.36 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No 96% 100.05 shares