Polymarket Trader

fd78

0xb8963073362f1c3350e1fe4b9ec18b7c4657f9cc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.4
Realized PnL: $30
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.82
Potential profit: $31.82
User PnL: -$14

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $25.2
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $1.8
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $12.2
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.12
Potential profit: $12.12
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Spain win?

Ends Jul 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.11

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3300 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will Spain Win?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Solana above $140 on July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

US military action against Iran in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Puffer airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Stars

Ends Apr 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

No 96.3% 27 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 90% 13.33 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?

Yes 95.7% 16.72 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on May 1?

Yes 98.8% 50.61 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 4?

Yes 99.8% 7.01 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 4?

Yes 98.6% 4.06 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?

Yes 99.6% 8.03 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 4?

Yes 97.3% 6.68 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Yes 97% 24.74 shares
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

Yes 97.6% 6.14 shares
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Yes 94.5% 6.35 shares
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?

Yes 99.6% 16.06 shares