No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $81.79K
- Potential payout
- $101.6K
- Potential profit
- $19.81K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$4.06K
Polymarket Trader
pugdev
0xb8a717fed80eab7258a9ff6ba9961908691d7674
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89.29K
- Realized PnL
- $98.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $7.44K
- Potential payout
- $7.99K
- Potential profit
- $559.64
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $369.85
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.61K
- Potential profit
- $7.61K
- User PnL
- -$6.1K
Magic position
Magic vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $68.88
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $26.13
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $16.61K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.95K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.05K
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.92K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.93K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03K
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.13K
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $635
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.36
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $341.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 80% 2,750 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 78.6% 11,004.75 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 94.3% 9,542.06 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 77.7% 17,194.7 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 82.9% 24,558.52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79.1% 40,568 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 85% 10,846.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 5,980 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 2,151.7 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 84% 6,400 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 85% 2,503 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 86% 2,135 shares