N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $161.66
- Potential payout
- $64.66K
- Potential profit
- $64.5K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$580.93
Polymarket Trader
MonacoLover
0xb8b44e3cc9e0962982e3c8bf444b6a7411f51f6e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.3K
- Realized PnL
- $90.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.06K
- Potential profit
- $43.06K
- User PnL
- -$5.58K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $22.07K
- Potential payout
- $39.07K
- Potential profit
- $17K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$4.48K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $49.98
- Potential payout
- $33.32K
- Potential profit
- $33.27K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.25K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $48.94
- Potential payout
- $32.63K
- Potential profit
- $32.58K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.3K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $79.76
- Potential payout
- $31.9K
- Potential profit
- $31.82K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.62K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.36K
- Potential profit
- $31.36K
- User PnL
- -$28.12K
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.97K
- Potential profit
- $26.97K
- User PnL
- -$3.99K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $25.85K
- Potential profit
- $24.4K
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$5.65K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.2K
- Potential profit
- $17.2K
- User PnL
- -$9.98K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.04K
- Potential profit
- $12.04K
- User PnL
- -$5.14K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $17.75
- Potential payout
- $11.84K
- Potential profit
- $11.82K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.86K
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$888.75
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.48K
- Potential profit
- $10.48K
- User PnL
- -$6.33K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.78K
- Potential profit
- $7.78K
- User PnL
- -$7.21K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $5.02K
- Potential payout
- $7.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $6.37K
- Potential payout
- $6.96K
- Potential profit
- $591.43
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $645.73
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $386.42
- Potential payout
- $6.72K
- Potential profit
- $6.33K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.33K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $9.46
- Potential payout
- $6.31K
- Potential profit
- $6.3K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.28K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $3.58K
- Potential payout
- $6.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$411.39
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $198.64
- Potential payout
- $6.02K
- Potential profit
- $5.82K
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.91K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $747.64
- Potential payout
- $5.98K
- Potential profit
- $5.23K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$98.56
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $111.06
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $3.72K
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.97K
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- User PnL
- -$258.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.51K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $9.52K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $8.23K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $7.16K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $783.12
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $464.64
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $373.24
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.84
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $359
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $258.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 94.7% 12,079.59 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 94.5% 12,079.56 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 9% 97.08 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 53.2% 59.24 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 53% 9.5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 60% 418.3 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 60% 500 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 60% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 60% 229.26 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 7% 76.42 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 60% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 95.9% 338.86 shares