Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $760.97
- Potential profit
- $760.97
- User PnL
- -$250
Polymarket Trader
Vox-Wallet
0xb8b8e76960ac66ab958e55b64be7659c716892e1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $145.2
- Realized PnL
- $137.64
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.78
- Potential profit
- $434.78
- User PnL
- -$400
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $325.67
- Potential profit
- $325.67
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244.07
- Potential profit
- $244.07
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $111.92
- Potential payout
- $127.91
- Potential profit
- $15.99
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $33.28
- Potential payout
- $41.86
- Potential profit
- $8.58
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.43
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.17
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$49.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?No 86% 41.86 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes 32.9% 760.97 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No 84.8% 294.67 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.8% 326.08 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 86% 127.91 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 46% 326.09 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 92% 434.78 shares
- Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?Yes 66% 45.45 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?No 61.4% 325.67 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No 96% 229.17 shares
- French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?No 81.9% 244.07 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 90% 26.63 shares