No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $34.67
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Polymarket Trader
ok-2
0xb8c7352034cab6f89b0395da3cc41ebd899f8344
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.4K
- Realized PnL
- $222.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $99.64
- Potential payout
- $719.42
- Potential profit
- $619.78
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.72
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.78
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.33
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.28
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.35
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.06
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.94
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.54
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.08
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.72
No position
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.47
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.9% 719.42 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 97.5% 1,333.33 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.5% 1,418.09 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 98.4% 158.13 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 98.4% 1,002.11 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 99.8% 957.13 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 8% 384.61 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 98.1% 195.44 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 98.8% 761.69 shares
- Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes 95.8% 251.39 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?No 99.8% 250.55 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 13% 384.62 shares