Polymarket Trader

elreptil

0xb8d2bf9500e4731b09f54c7ebec6bf89899ec66b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.63K
Realized PnL: $59.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $15.36K
Potential payout: $16.35K
Potential profit: $989.07
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $559.28

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $1.79K
Potential payout: $15.23K
Potential profit: $13.44K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $189.45

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.4K
Potential profit: $5.4K
User PnL: -$4.88K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $200.45
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $2.53K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$99.54

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.37K
User PnL: -$432.54

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $844.83
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $304.6
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$155.17

Yes position

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $141.92
Potential payout: $727.8
Potential profit: $585.88
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$8.08

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $111.5
Potential payout: $619.44
Potential profit: $507.94
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$88.5

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $182.81
Potential payout: $468.75
Potential profit: $285.94
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $32.81

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $138.89
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

No position

Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19K

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

No position

US military action against Iran in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

No position

Israel military action against Iran in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

No position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 36% 138.89 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 87% 1,149.43 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 4,651.16 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

No 95% 4,210.53 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 1,190.48 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 73.5% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 74.4% 2,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 43% 4,651.16 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

No 90.8% 5,506.09 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 84.6% 118.2 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

No 86.6% 3,464.93 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

No 95% 4,210.53 shares