Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $2.57K
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $583.06
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$101.56
Polymarket Trader
urals
0xb8d3f4c0d55bbb7770ab1bced388bd3f63184120
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.73K
- Realized PnL
- $2.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $162.19
- Potential payout
- $174.96
- Potential profit
- $12.77
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.78
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.88
No position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.68
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 99% 3,000.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No 99.9% 8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No 99.7% 3,518.8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No 99.9% 5,005.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No 99.8% 683.82 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 47% 3,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No 99.5% 4,330.84 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No 96.7% 9,527.3 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No 99.7% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No 99.8% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No 99.9% 100 shares