Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Polymarket Trader
KenanEvren
0xb8d6478ef9db74cf7b2803ec49ea95b9594c44ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $170.41
- Realized PnL
- $148.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $78.59
- Potential payout
- $403
- Potential profit
- $324.42
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $9.6
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $339.49
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $8.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $31.4
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$16.4
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $26.4
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.3
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $20.38
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $24.9
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $14.4
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.1
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$7.9
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.1
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $13.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $19.79
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.19
Yes position
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.96
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $9.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.77
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $2.37
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.64
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4
Yes position
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.26
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.24
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Will Mexico win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 340 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 23% 8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 10 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 25.6% 20 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 24% 29.99 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 70% 10 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No 56% 20 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 41% 40 shares