Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
0xB8d9aABAA22D4912E845e3E08459A340b6E2B94C-1765028415851
0xb8d9aabaa22d4912e845e3e08459a340b6e2b94c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.76
- Realized PnL
- $148.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $418.31
- Potential profit
- $418.31
- User PnL
- -$19.23
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.93
- Potential profit
- $137.93
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $7.27
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $85.32
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.73
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.89
- Potential profit
- $66.89
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.6
- Potential profit
- $26.6
- User PnL
- -$6.65
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $21.51
- Potential profit
- $19.95
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$18.44
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $3.15
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.26
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.76
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.81
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.52
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.8% 92.59 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 95.2% 3.15 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 21.51 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 84% 59.52 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 31% 16.13 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?Yes 4.6% 418.31 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 82% 98.95 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 4% 750 shares
- Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes 33% 30.3 shares
- Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes 74% 13.51 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 29% 137.93 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 20.2% 24.76 shares