Polymarket Trader

0xb8e0a3e389D876E89bC5cbADD542A89b63B15ADC-1769198536285

0xb8e0a3e389d876e89bc5cbadd542a89b63b15adc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $349.24
Realized PnL: $617.14
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $9.89
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$6.85

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $321.16
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $37.35

Yes position

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $18.18
Potential payout: $637.86
Potential profit: $619.68
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$31.82

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.95
Potential profit: $163.95
User PnL: -$104.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.29

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.82

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.21

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.16

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

No position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$42.09

Yes position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$120

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 19% 1,493.79 shares
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 64% 163.95 shares
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

Yes 0.5% 1,582.33 shares
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Yes 14% 142.86 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 16.9% 295.29 shares
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Yes 38.3% 261.29 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 22% 454.55 shares
Will the US strike Iran next?

Yes 2.5% 402.32 shares
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1.1% 1,521.82 shares
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 7.8% 637.86 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 37.3% 268.21 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 416.67 shares