Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $8.71K
- Potential profit
- $7.53K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Polymarket Trader
0xb8e2...ae8e
0xb8e2ce2aa059ae94ec0cea6c91cb1a7ea99cae8e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.18K
- Realized PnL
- -$459.42
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608.03
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $532.29
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.47
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.72
Dplus KIA position
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.71
BNK FEARX position
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.56
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.95
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.31
No position
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.83
BNK FEARX position
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.18
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.79
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.54
BNK FEARX position
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Dplus KIA position
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Dplus KIA position
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.28
Yes position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$72.42
Yes position
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$176.87
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$251.02
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.38K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 3,548.39 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 5,161.29 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 91% 2,396.67 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 57% 701.75 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 59% 1,694.92 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 56% 2,262.55 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 67% 499.78 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 65% 1,084.82 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 5.4% 6,769.72 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 22% 909.09 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 26% 769.23 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 29.4% 1,361.02 shares