Polymarket Trader

Jan777

0xb8e32d575b8d360f90bcc95596e9a0bee444aaf2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $377.51K
Realized PnL: $1.31K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $136K
Potential payout: $150.27K
Potential profit: $14.28K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $17.25K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.69K
Potential profit: $104.69K
User PnL: -$44.42K

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $76.08K
Potential payout: $85K
Potential profit: $8.93K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.98K

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $75.67K
Potential payout: $79.86K
Potential profit: $4.19K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.32K

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $32.3K
Potential payout: $68.72K
Potential profit: $36.42K
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$12.92K

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $735
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.26K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1.06K

No position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $22.7K
Potential payout: $26.25K
Potential profit: $3.54K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.72K

No position

Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $21.54K
Potential payout: $22.61K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.56K

Philip Sekulic position

Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Philip Sekulic

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.68K
Potential profit: $5.68K
User PnL: -$3.05K

Joao Fonseca position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.94K
Potential payout: $4.94K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.88K

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $3.25K
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $85.02
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $675.81

No position

NATO dissolves before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $88.44
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $82.04

Jessika Ponchet position

Saint-Malo: Jessika Ponchet vs Fiona Ferro

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $25.46
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$205.36

No position

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $12

Khachanov position

Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderi

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

No position

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

No 54% 929.68 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

No 53% 2,020.07 shares
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 19.4% 983.31 shares
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 19.2% 100 shares
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 19.2% 100 shares
Saint-Malo: Jessika Ponchet vs Fiona Ferro

Jessika Ponchet 31.3% 1,566.91 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 84% 1,085.83 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 84% 7,710.8 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 84% 12,634.21 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 84% 453.56 shares
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

No 86.5% 207.78 shares
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

No 85.9% 642.88 shares