Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$75.9
Polymarket Trader
0xb8ed...156f
0xb8ed1e03f1822fda61c3d2bf686f16a88e95156f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $137.52
- Realized PnL
- $953.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of June 1 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $115
- User PnL
- -$63.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- -$2.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $55.13
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $49.88
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $101.8
- Potential profit
- $100.73
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$23.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $81.32
- Potential payout
- $98.57
- Potential profit
- $17.25
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $17.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.99
- Potential profit
- $76.99
- User PnL
- -$1.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.3
- Potential profit
- $52.3
- User PnL
- -$43.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.71
- Potential profit
- $15.71
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.57
- Potential profit
- $7.57
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.29
- Potential profit
- $5.29
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.8
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.4
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.03
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 21?No 75% 105 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?No 75% 35.23 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 20?No 72% 10.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?Yes 38% 105 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?No 61.5% 86.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?Yes 0.1% 105 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 19?No 72% 27.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 20?Yes 33% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?Yes 42% 65.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 20?Yes 33% 43.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?Yes 43% 8.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?Yes 43% 9.99 shares