Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $8.15
- Potential payout
- $465.71
- Potential profit
- $457.56
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Polymarket Trader
joakja2008
0xb8fc28bbf7b8c9c5f9e0bbbd7272adaba4e6ed7f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $169.42
- Realized PnL
- $519.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $14.08
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $249.08
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $175.44
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $7.36
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $135.51
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$2.64
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $33.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $91.88
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $23.13
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $14.94
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $98.69
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- $4.94
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $89.5
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $93.46
- Potential profit
- $91.36
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$7.9
Yes position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.18
- Potential profit
- $80.18
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
OKX IPO in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $8.55
- Potential payout
- $77.69
- Potential profit
- $69.15
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $8.46
- Potential payout
- $77.61
- Potential profit
- $69.15
- Multiplier
- 9.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $77.52
- Potential profit
- $67.02
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.35
- Potential profit
- $65.35
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $35.26
- Potential payout
- $61.33
- Potential profit
- $26.06
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $20.26
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $53.24
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.41
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.79
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.97
Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $7.35
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $51.47
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.82
- Potential profit
- $56.82
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
James Comey arrested by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $49.21
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$6.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.44
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.68
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.63
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.23
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.67
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.59
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.17
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.69
No position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.7
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.29
Yes position
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.63
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.93
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.91
No position
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.94
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $10.64
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $10.56
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.36
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.33
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 71% 14.08 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 86.2% 12.65 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 18.51 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 41% 24.39 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 72% 13.89 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 86% 12.5 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No 68% 14.71 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 54% 18.52 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.6% 15.24 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 48% 20.83 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 79% 12.65 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 90% 22.84 shares