Polymarket Trader

Marzk

0xb8ffc18b80a29ebc19373e90bd1572600343f5b0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $180.62
Realized PnL: $242.78
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $61.8
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $58.2
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$31.8

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$36.4

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $62.99
Potential payout: $62.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $18.9

Yes position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$10.44

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$29.02

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$11.1

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $23
User PnL: -$14.03

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $21.99
Potential payout: $21.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.7

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7.4

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57.9%
Current value: $11.57
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $8.43
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $4.13

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.4

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$14.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.76
Multiplier: 4.45x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.5

No position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.1

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.29

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.75

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.24

Yes position

Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.51

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

No position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.41

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Movistar KOI position

LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

No 86% 21.99 shares
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Yes 17.4% 60 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 44.6% 80.16 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 70% 62.99 shares
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Yes 20% 10 shares
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?

Yes 60% 20 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 37.2% 20 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 41.7% 10 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 61% 16.41 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 36.6% 80.16 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 52% 70 shares
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?

Yes 67% 14.63 shares