Polymarket Trader

fixedincome

0xb904e24766760c88553c02e0f3924ec3260900dd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.09
Realized PnL: $101.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Seattle Mariners position

San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $141.79
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $40.98
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.53
Potential profit: $37.53
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $30.67
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$1

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.25
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.75
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $13.43
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

Team Phoenix position

LoL: Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular Season

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.66

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Qatar position

Saudi Arabia vs. Qatar

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74

Yes position

Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

United States position

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

No position

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?

Yes 33% 3.03 shares
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?

No 17% 5.88 shares
Will Madison Keys be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes 11.9% 8.4 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Under 35% 2.86 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Saudi Arabia vs. Qatar

Qatar 21% 4.76 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Ghana 10% 10 shares
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

No 16% 6.25 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 34% 2.94 shares